For the first time since Vettel, Alonso and Webber in 2010 we've got a proper three-way title decider. After 23 races and six sprints, the maths is brutal. Leaping Lando leads on 408 points, Mad Max sits on 396 and our bloke Oscar lurks on 392. Twelve points cover LL and MM, 16 cover the lot.

Head says Verstappen takes the race. Heart (and half of Australia) says Piastri pulls something ridiculous. Logic says Norris does just enough.